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ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS HERALD |
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EXPERTS AND EXPERTISE High on my mystery-list is this question: How do people become experts? On the surface, it seems obvious. At his coffee shop my buddy Al explains it to me as if I were more backward than the typical backward child. “Someone becomes an ‘expert’ in a field because he has done well in it,” says Al. “Ex-quarterbacks do football color commentary. Retired generals talk about war and military matters for Fox News or CNN. Judges explain the law. And so forth. What’s not to understand?” Naturally, I can see all that. I listen to Phil Simms or Sonny Jurgensen talk about football because they were great players. They speak with authority. But what about those guys who were mediocre players – or not players at all? Why do we treat them as “experts”? Al rolls his eyes. “What are you talkin’ about?” he wants to know. “Networks don’t put duffers on the air. It would make their sports programs look stupid. People wouldn’t watch them. Their ratings would fall, and the network would lose money.” I agree (with my fingers crossed), but like Joe Gibbs I have run a “misdirection play” on Al. I’m not just talking about football now. I’m talking about other fields where this crystal-clarity of expertise doesn’t seem operative. Here’s an example. On his weekly radio program, a well-known expert on child rearing gives counsel on family, children, sound living, and personal maturity. He is well educated and clinically experienced, and has successfully raised his own family. I have never found his advice false or ill considered. He is articulate and very wise. But sometimes he’s not the only one talking. On one occasion he hosted some successful executives he had met on a summer vacation. His guests related how they had neglected their families while pursuing their careers. Some of their children turned out badly. Years were spent on costly repairs. Meanwhile, each man had become professionally and financially successful. And, eventually, each had a personal “epiphany” about his mistakes. This was why they were on the radio program of an internationally known family expert. ‘Don’t do what we did,’ was their message. ‘We concentrated on making money, but you should take a different path. Here’s what we should have done…’ Their message made me think: Suppose ESPN interviewed a coach whose team had the poorest record in the league. If he said he now knows what it takes to succeed because of all the things he and his team had done wrong, would he be credible? No, the success-oriented world of pro sports doesn’t work that way. You have to have done it, not just realize how you messed up. I don’t know if our child-rearing expert took any heat for presenting his don’t-do-it-the-way-we-did guests that day. Perhaps he did, for I don’t believe they were on the show again. In “Fiddler on the Roof”, Tevye sings, “When you’re rich, they think you really know.” Thus, famous actresses can sell things like cookbooks. Sure, they might include some good recipes. But what would an actress know about cooking beyond some limited experience as a girl in her mother’s kitchen? A successful actress could never have spent the time needed to become a really great cook like my wife or millions like her. Yet she is the one selling cookbooks. Go figure. Like having a non-player do football “color”. Actually, this has been tried. In the 1980s, CBS thought it would be amusing to create a football commentator out of a fast-talking bookie. Jimmy “The Greek” Snyder – actually born Demetrius George Synodinos, in 1918 – was a colorful odds-maker, so it was assumed that he really knew football. He didn’t, but viewers tolerated his semi-comic ramblings. Eventually, he made some witless comments about black athletes owing their exceptional abilities to “good” slave breeding. When a public uproar ensued, CBS decided to end its experiment in creative commentary. Da Greek wuz toast. Mr. Snyder crashed because his public knew he wasn’t a real expert. One slip and he was gone. But when CBS News Anchor Dan Rather invoked an anti-black racial stereotype, in July 2001, the network ignored the incident and refused to answer questions about it. Considered a genuine expert by the public, Mr. Rather had such cachet that he could skate by on the thin ice that wouldn’t support The Greek. But in September 2004 the ice finally cracked when Mr. Rather released forged documents that were obviously meant to disrupt the presidential campaign. The public would not countenance this. Mr. Rather resigned soon afterward. What can we infer from these “expert” tales? First, that celebrity has a role in elevating people to expert status. If you are rich and famous – or connected to someone who is – you have a crack at becoming an expert. The syndicated columnist David Limbaugh is a good writer and says smart things, but I don’t remember hearing about him until his brother, Rush, became famous. Some actors sell products off their fame. The “executives” got to comment on raising families because of their connections, but they had no staying power in the field because of another factor. That factor, of course, is genuine expertise. The executives lacked it. (Indeed, they admitted it.) Jimmy The Greek self-destructed because he didn’t have it, either. He was just a “character” in a role. David Limbaugh got a chance because of his brother’s fame, but he made the most of it because he is a legitimate writer, a student of history, and a keen observer of our times and culture. He has earned respect. Getting up there can be a fluke. Staying there means delivering. An additional factor in the expert-game is the importance of the subject. Football fans overlooked Jimmy’s vacuity because the show he appeared on offered some real experts. Although many fans take their football seriously, they still know it is just entertainment. But when His Greekness strayed into social issues, he got the hook. He was far beyond his “expertise” (if any). Wide receivers and point-spreads were one thing; “good slave breeding” (good grief!) was another. This explains why we buy actresses’ cookbooks. It’s a non-critical subject. Ultimately, the public is the final word on experts and the quality of their expertise. The public can be longsuffering, whimsical, impatient, merciless – even cruel. Sometimes its judgments actually seem perverse or foolish. Nowhere is that more true than in politics. Politics is unique because its “expertise” is inexact and highly localized. People regarded as buffoons in one part of the country are venerated as “distinguished statesmen” in their home states. Even within the same state, people of one district might consider a neighboring district’s representative a mountebank and a swindler. Yet his district elects him by large margins. As Tip O’Neil famously said, “All politics is local.” Curiously, genuine technical experts are often not good leaders, and great leaders are rarely experts. Herbert Hoover was the most admired man in America when he won the presidency by a large majority in 1928. With a self-made fortune of $10 million, he was considered an economic expert. Yet the economic collapse produced by the Great Depression, when 25% of the nation’s banks failed, was far beyond Mr. Hoover. His government had no clue how to deal with it. On the other hand, men of only modest intellectual gifts – e.g., Franklin Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan – dealt effectively with serious national problems on their watch. Neither brought any particular technical expertise to the office. With the nation in crisis, FDR gathered capable people around him and stepped out confidently. He spoke to us as though we were his neighbors and made us believe in ourselves again. The confidence he rebuilt helped us fight the greatest war in history and defeat two dangerous enemies. Not bad for a rich boy who never held a real job. Mr. Reagan – widely mocked as an “amiable dunce” who merely read lines written by others – made a lasting mark on the nation with lowered taxes, tamed inflation, a rejuvenated economy, and rebuilt American pride. The stock market, hanging below 1,000 from 1967 to 1981, rose to 3,000 by the end of George Bush’s term and set the stage for the great bull market of the ‘90s. Mr. Reagan also enacted policies that collapsed the Soviet Bloc in the 1990s. Historians already regard him as one of the two greatest president of the 20th century. (FDR is the other.) But, after all, he was only a Grade B actor. All this shows that there are different types of experts. Nuts-and-bolts experts comment on football, child rearing, the stock market, military matters, etc. The public ruthlessly weeds them out for quality and credibility. Presidents, no less than ordinary folks, need such experts to advise them. The soundness of a president’s policies often depends on the experts around him. But leadership requires another type of expertise – call it the expertise of greatness. Real leaders exhibit it via the signature behaviors of common sense, trustworthiness, honesty, confidence, plain speaking and optimism. FDR and Ronald Reagan exhibited these qualities in spades. They can’t really be faked for extended periods. Look for them among the people who wish to lead us. They will indicate who has the “expertise of greatness” that we need.
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